ECB Forum on Central Banking

ANZ Business Confidence (Jun)

46.30

45.00

36.60

TD-MI Inflation Gauge MoM (Jun)

0.20

-0.40

TD-MI Inflation Gauge MoM

-0.40

TD-MI Inflation Gauge MoM (Jun)

0.10

0.20

-0.40

NBS General PMI (Jun)

50.70

50.70

50.40

NBS Manufacturing PMI (Jun)

49.70

49.70

49.50

NBS Non Manufacturing PMI (Jun)

50.50

50.30

50.30

Manufacturing PMI (Jun)

49.70

49.60

49.50

PMI (Jun)

50.70

50.40

Private Sector Credit MoM (May)

0.50

0.70

0.70

Housing Credit MoM (May)

0.50

0.40

0.50

Private Sector Credit YoY (May)

6.90

6.50

6.70

Money Supply (May)

432.60

435.10

Industrial Production YoY (May)

1.88

1.80

1.91

2-Year KTB Auction

2.43

2.33

Gross Domestic Product YoY (May)

2.10

1.20

0.90

Retail Sales YoY (May)

1.80

4.00

5.50

Retail Sales MoM (May)

2.90

-2.00

1.60

Housing Starts YoY (May)

-34.40

-14.80

-26.60

Construction Orders YoY (May)

14.00

18.00

52.70

Import Prices YoY (May)

-1.10

-0.80

-0.40

Retail Sales YoY (May)

1.60

3.30

2.90

Retail Sales MoM (May)

-1.60

0.50

-0.60

Import Prices MoM (May)

-0.70

-0.40

-1.70

M3 Money Supply YoY (May)

6.86

6.12

Private Sector Credit YoY (May)

4.98

3.00

4.60

Private Sector Credit (May)

4.98

4.60

GDP Growth Rate YoY (Q1)

1.30

1.30

1.50

GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q1)

0.70

0.70

0.10

Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Q1)

0.70

0.70

0.10

Current Account (Q1)

-23.50

-19.75

-21.00

Business Investment QoQ (Q1)

3.90

5.80

-1.90

Business Investment YoY (Q1)

6.10

8.10

1.80

Household Lending Growth YoY (May)

2.40

2.50

2.30

Money Supply (May)

Unemployment Rate (May)

2.50

2.60

2.50

Gross Domestic Product YoY (Q1)

2.30

3.60

Producer Price Index YoY (May)

6.90

7.30

7.90

Money Supply (May)

29.60

29.70

KOF Leading Indicators (Jun)

96.10

99.30

98.60

Producer Price Index YoY (May)

-0.60

-0.90

-0.20

Producer Price Index MoM (May)

-0.30

-0.60

-0.90

Balance of Trade (May)

-6.60

-6.50

-12.10

Unemployment Rate (May)

8.40

8.40

8.60

Exports (May)

24.80

24.80

20.80

Imports (May)

31.46

31.30

32.89

Participation Rate (May)

53.50

53.50

53.50

Trade Balance (May)

-6.65

-6.50

-12.09

Money Supply (May)

Money Supply YoY (May)

2.70

3.20

M3 Money Supply YoY (May)

2.70

3.20

Imports YoY (May)

19.20

17.30

Private Consumption MoM (May)

0.20

0.40

-1.50

Private Investment MoM (May)

-0.60

-0.20

2.90

Current Account (May)

-0.30

-0.10

-1.50

Gross Domestic Product YoY (May)

7.50

6.00

7.50

Consumer Confidence (Q2)

-10.00

-13.00

Manufacturing Confidence (Jun)

100.10

M3 Money Supply YoY (May)

3.20

Retail Sales YoY (Apr)

41.40

10.00

32.30

Unemployment Change

34.00

Inflation Rate YoY (Jun)

4.10

4.00

4.00

Inflation Rate MoM (Jun)

0.10

0.10

-0.20

CPI (Jun)

0.10

0.10

-0.20

Baden Wuerttemberg CPI YoY (Jun)

2.30

2.20

Saxony CPI MoM (Jun)

0.20

0.00

Saxony CPI YoY (Jun)

2.40

2.30

Hesse CPI MoM (Jun)

0.10

0.00

Baden Wuerttemberg CPI MoM (Jun)

0.20

-0.10

Brandenburg CPI YoY (Jun)

2.20

2.20

Brandenburg CPI MoM (Jun)

0.20

0.00

North Rhine Westphalia CPI YoY (Jun)

1.80

2.00

Bavaria CPI MoM (Jun)

-0.10

0.10

North Rhine Westphalia CPI MoM (Jun)

-0.10

0.20

Hesse CPI YoY (Jun)

2.30

2.30

Bavaria CPI YoY (Jun)

1.80

2.10

Producer Price Index YoY (May)

7.10

8.00

12.30

Business Confidence (Jun)

18.40

17.00

18.20

Producer Price Index MoM (May)

-2.10

-2.00

-4.40

Current Account (Q1)

4.40

3.40

2.30

M3 Money Supply YoY (May)

3.90

4.00

3.60

Loans to Households YoY (May)

2.00

2.00

1.90

Loans to Companies YoY (May)

2.50

2.70

2.60

Consumer Inflation Expectation (May)

3.20

3.10

Private sector loans (May)

2.00

2.00

1.90

M3 Money Supply YoY (Jun)

4.00

3.60

Money Supply (Jun)

Money Supply (May)

4.30

3.80

Current Account (Apr)

1.36

2.10

2.47

Unemployment Rate (May)

1.90

1.90

1.90

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY (Jun)

2.50

1.80

1.90

Inflation Rate MoM (Jun)

0.80

0.40

0.00

Mortgage Approvals (May)

63.03

59.75

60.66

M4 Money Supply MoM (May)

0.20

0.20

-0.10

Mortgage Lending (May)

2.05

2.50

-0.78

BoE Consumer Credit (May)

0.86

1.10

1.94

Net Lending to Individuals MoM (May)

2.90

4.10

1.17

Money Supply (May)

Net Lending to Individuals (May)

2.90

4.10

1.17

Inflation Rate YoY (Jun)

3.90

3.80

3.80

CPI (Jun)

3.90

3.80

ECB Guindos Speech

ECB De Guindos Speech

Budget Balance (May)

-10.12

-18.00

-64.63

Inflation Rate YoY (Jun)

1.70

1.70

1.60

Inflation Rate MoM (Jun)

0.20

0.20

-0.10

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY (Jun)

1.70

1.80

1.70

Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM (Jun)

0.20

0.30

-0.10

HICP MoM

0.20

0.30

-0.10

CPI (Jun)

0.20

0.10

-0.10

HICP YoY

1.70

1.80

1.70

Retail Sales YoY (Apr)

0.90

0.30

Producer Price Index YoY (May)

-0.40

-0.70

-0.60

Tourist Arrivals YoY (May)

6.00

1.20

Retail Sales MoM (May)

-1.40

-0.60

1.00

Industrial Production YoY (May)

1.70

7.00

6.50

Retail Sales YoY (May)

2.60

4.00

4.90

Current Account (Q1)

-200.00

-480.00

GDP Growth Rate YoY (Q1)

1.80

2.50

GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q1)

0.50

1.30

Foreign Exchange Reserves (Jun)

38.60

38.45

Inflation Rate YoY (Jun)

-0.60

-0.20

-0.70

Producer Price Index YoY (May)

-0.90

-0.50

Budget Balance (May)

-64.63

Industrial Production YoY (May)

4.40

3.00

2.30

Balance of Trade (May)

-635.20

-1230.00

-1142.00

GDP Growth Rate YoY (Q1)

10.10

8.00

7.30

Retail Sales YoY (May)

1.60

2.40

2.70

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY (Jun)

1.60

1.30

1.40

Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM (Jun)

0.50

0.20

0.00

Retail Sales MoM (May)

-0.60

-0.70

1.00

HICP MoM

0.50

0.00

HICP YoY

1.60

1.40

Unemployment Rate (May)

6.40

6.30

Inflation Rate YoY (Jun)

2.40

2.40

2.30

Inflation Rate MoM (Jun)

0.10

0.10

0.30

CPI (Jun)

0.10

0.30

Producer Price Index YoY (May)

2.00

0.10

0.50

Total Credit YoY (May)

6.90

7.50

7.20

Retail Sales YoY (Apr)

7.50

0.90

1.10

Current Account (Q1)

-628.70

-600.00

-515.30

Trade Balance (May)

5.26

2.32

Manufacturing PMI (Apr)

50.00

50.20

Composite Economic Index MoM (May)

0.10

-0.10

Retail Sales YoY (May)

-1.50

-1.00

Government Budget Value (May)

-131.60

-4800.00

-1863.30

Manufacturing Production YoY (May)

2.60

3.00

3.10

Industrial Production YoY (May)

1.20

2.40

2.60

Manufacturing Output MoM (May)

2.60

3.10

Industrial Production (May)

1.80

1.80

Balance of Trade (May)

-472.50

-620.00

-717.50

Current Account (Q1)

-3871.00

-1840.00

-1571.00

Producer Price Index MoM (May)

2.50

-2.30

-1.90

GDP Growth Rate YoY (Q1)

2.80

3.60

GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q1)

1.20

0.10

Producer Price Index YoY (May)

0.30

-0.90

-0.50

Unemployment Rate (Q1)

Unemployment Rate (Q4)

4.20

4.30

4.20

Inflation Rate YoY (May)

Gross Debt to GDP (May)

76.10

76.50

76.00

Nominal Budget Balance (May)

-125.89

-116.00

-55.54

BCB Focus Market Readout

Budget Balance (May)

-125.89

-116.00

-55.54

Gross Domestic Product MoM (May)

76.10

76.20

Primary Budget Surplus (May)

-33.74

14.15

Net Debt-to-GDP ratio (May)

62.00

61.70

Current Account (Q1)

-5.50

-11.50

External Debt (Q1)

717.90

Infrastructure Output YoY (May)

1.40

0.50

Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Q1)

-1.10

GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q1)

-14.00

12.40

GDP Growth Rate YoY (Q1)

3.20

3.84

Inflation Rate MoM (Jun)

0.00

0.20

0.10

Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM (Jun)

0.10

0.30

0.20

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY (Jun)

2.00

2.20

2.10

Inflation Rate YoY (Jun)

2.00

2.20

2.10

CPI (Jun)

2.00

2.20

2.10

HICP YoY

2.00

2.20

2.10

HICP MoM

0.10

0.30

0.20

Balance of Trade (May)

21.67

17.00

13.00

Trade Balance (May)

21.67

13.00

Retail Sales MoM (May)

-0.30

Retail Sales YoY (May)

4.50

Gross Domestic Product YoY (Q1)

-2.00

Gross Domestic Product YoY (Q2)

0.90

6.50

Unemployment Rate (May)

8.90

8.90

8.80

Industrial Production YoY (May)

4.60

3.10

3.80

Manufacturing Production YoY (May)

2.90

2.10

-0.10

Copper Production YoY (May)

9.40

16.00

13.50

Retail Sales MoM (May)

-1.20

-0.10

-0.10

Retail Sales YoY (May)

4.50

4.00

3.10

6-Month BTF Auction

1.95

1.93

3-Month BTF Auction

1.96

1.95

12-Month BTF Auction

1.92

1.93

Current Account (Q1)

955.00

800.00

-1057.00

CPI (Jun)

3.80

GDP Growth Rate YoY (Q1)

1.70

1.80

2.50

Chicago PMI (Jun)

40.40

43.00

40.50

Inflation Rate YoY (Jun)

4.20

3.80

CPI (Jun)

3.80

3.80

M2 Money Supply YoY (May)

25.62

Fed Bostic Speech

Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Q1)

10.00

Gross Domestic Product YoY (Q1)

3.84

CoreLogic Dwelling Prices MoM (Jun)

0.60

0.40

0.50

Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Jun)

-12.70

-10.00

-15.30

Gross Domestic Product YoY (Q1)

-0.10

GDP Growth Rate YoY (Q1)

4.00

4.30

CPI (May)

0.48

GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q1)

-0.10

0.50

1.30

GDP Growth Rate YoY (Q1)

-0.30

-1.70

-2.00

3-Month Bill Auction

4.24

4.20

6-Month Bill Auction

4.11

4.12

Inflation Rate YoY (Jun)

3.80

4.20

3.80

M2 Money Supply YoY (May)

15.30

13.00

14.00

Quarterly Grain Stocks - Wheat (Jun)

0.85

0.84

1.24

Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy (Jun)

1.02

0.97

1.91

Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn (Jun)

4.64

4.65

8.15

Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy (Jun)

1.91

Quarterly Grain Stocks - Wheat (Jun)

1.24

Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn (Jun)

8.15

Fed Goolsbee Speech

Current Account (Q1)

-388.74

-450.00

-415.27

GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q1)

-0.58

1.20

3.18

GDP Growth Rate YoY (Q1)

2.32

4.20

3.40

ECB Lagarde Speech

Net Payrolls (May)

148.99

179.00

257.53

Balance of Trade (May)

30.60

-89.00

-91.76

GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q1)

-1.30

10.20

Money Supply (May)

3.90

Private Sector Credit YoY (May)

0.40

Interest Rate Decision

5.75

5.75

5.75

Fiscal Balance (May)

-140.00

-137.30

Economic Activity YoY (Apr)

7.70

6.60

5.60

Current Account (Q1)

-500.00

-383.00

ECB President Lagarde Speech

Fiscal Balance (May)

-226.30

-140.00

-137.30

Current Account (Q1)

-802.00

-652.00

Interest Rate Decision

5.75

5.75

5.75

Capacity Utilization (Q2)

89.40

90.80

90.50

Business Confidence (Q2)

22.00

6.00

19.00

Building Permits (May)

10.40

-1.80

-14.60

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jun)

50.60

51.00

51.00

Judo Bank Manufacturing PMI (Jun)

50.60

51.00

51.00

BRC Shop Price Index YoY

0.40

0.20

-0.10

Tankan Large Manufacturers Index (Q2)

13.00

10.00

12.00

Tankan Small Manufacturers Index (Q2)

1.00

-1.00

2.00

Tankan Large Manufacturing Outlook (Q2)

12.00

9.00

12.00

Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook (Q2)

27.00

29.00

28.00

Tankan Large Non-Manufacturing Index (Q2)

34.00

34.00

35.00

Tankan Large All Industry Capex (Q2)

11.50

3.40

3.10

Tankan All Small Industry CAPEX (Q2)

-5.60

-10.00

Tankan Small Non-Manufacturing Index (Q2)

15.00

16.00